Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.250768 0.290047 0.334806 0.389869 0.456169 0.533908 0.632669
2025-09-21 0.191101 0.241648 0.305874 0.394716 0.516408 0.680231 0.922645
2025-09-28 0.155349 0.209089 0.282875 0.394148 0.562328 0.814968 1.239365
2025-10-05 0.135282 0.191381 0.273390 0.406258 0.624693 0.986160 1.668382
2025-10-12 0.119932 0.176735 0.264202 0.414787 0.681087 1.161522 2.171564
2025-10-19 0.107867 0.164603 0.255973 0.421911 0.735243 1.347396 2.773824
2025-10-26 0.099198 0.156255 0.252000 0.434764 0.802075 1.577605 3.582088
2025-11-02 0.090629 0.146682 0.244132 0.438435 0.851230 1.786651 4.452008
2025-11-09 0.082939 0.137494 0.235376 0.438361 0.892126 1.990775 5.430224
2025-11-16 0.075917 0.128550 0.225669 0.434328 0.923000 2.181498 6.493992
2025-11-23 0.069495 0.119907 0.215287 0.426851 0.943857 2.354056 7.622951
2025-11-30 0.065951 0.116208 0.214002 0.438925 1.016169 2.700512 9.687822
2025-12-07 0.060694 0.108741 0.204355 0.430783 1.035621 2.902438 11.374775
2025-12-14 0.057062 0.104092 0.199988 0.434479 1.089354 3.243266 14.099189
2025-12-21 0.053434 0.099054 0.194134 0.433488 1.129842 3.560655 17.119768
2025-12-28 0.051275 0.096786 0.194007 0.446994 1.218607 4.107797 22.346383
2026-01-04 0.049015 0.094055 0.192473 0.456547 1.298485 4.670169 28.745848
2026-01-11 0.046843 0.091286 0.190487 0.464539 1.376403 5.277552 36.870996
2026-01-18 0.045230 0.089565 0.190745 0.478971 1.482687 6.097224 49.208643
2026-01-25 0.043155 0.086610 0.187654 0.483095 1.553088 6.793550 62.603532
2026-02-01 0.041029 0.083343 0.183409 0.483012 1.607955 7.454175 78.196628
2026-02-08 0.038859 0.079783 0.178024 0.478481 1.644083 8.041549 95.507197
2026-02-15 0.036685 0.076033 0.171752 0.470084 1.661918 8.537743 114.055019